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Inflation

Federal Reserve Preview: Trick or Treat?

Submitted by Flynn Zito Capital Management on October 31st, 2022

With a series of important economic indicators suggesting the economy is declining and inflation is finally decelerating, albeit very slowly, markets are beginning to factor in that the Fed may soon transition to a less aggressive stance in early 2023. Here we preview this week’s Fed meeting and discuss whether investors will get a trick or a treat.

Tags:
  • 2022
  • Economic Review
  • Inflation
  • Market Commentary
  • Read more

How Much Higher Can Rates Go?

Submitted by Flynn Zito Capital Management on September 19th, 2022

Inflationary dynamics continue to surprise to the upside, and markets now expect the Fed to pursue one of its most aggressive rate hiking campaign in years. U.S. Treasury yields continue to move higher as well.

Tags:
  • Economic Review
  • Inflation
  • Interest Rates
  • Market Commentary
  • Read more

The Best and Worst of Times

Submitted by Flynn Zito Capital Management on September 7th, 2022

When it comes to stock market performance, August was “the best of times, and the worst of times.” The strong market rally that peaked in mid-August was viewed by many analysts as a transition from a bear to bull market, based on the surge in breadth that stocks enjoyed and the magnitude of the two-month rally that began in mid-June totaling 17%.

Tags:
  • Economic Review
  • Federal Reserve
  • Inflation
  • S&P 500
  • Stock Market
  • Read more

Big Week for Market Watchers

Submitted by Flynn Zito Capital Management on August 8th, 2022

Last week was epic for market-watchers. A Federal Reserve (Fed) rate hike, a much-anticipated gross domestic product (GDP) report, and the busiest week of earnings season got most of the headlines. There was even a surprise out of Washington D.C., with a Schumer-Manchin agreement on a climate-healthcare-tax bill and some inflation data that added to the evidence that inflation has peaked.

Tags:
  • Federal Reserve
  • GDP
  • Inflation
  • Stock Market
  • Read more

3 Factors That Could Change the Inflation Course

Submitted by Flynn Zito Capital Management on July 25th, 2022

For the past year, supply-related problems contributed more to inflation than demand-related imbalances, but that may be changing soon. There are at least three factors that could change the course of inflation. First, the improvement in shipping and general supply bottlenecks could ease inflation. Second, strength in the U.S. dollar could offset some of the current inflationary pressures.

Tags:
  • Inflation
  • Market Commentary
  • Read more

An Attractive Entry Point

Submitted by Flynn Zito Capital Management on April 28th, 2022

It has been a turbulent 2022 so far for investors. The S&P 500 Index is on track for its worst April in more than 40 years, the Nasdaq entered a bear market on April 26 with its more than 20% decline, and bonds, which typically provide ballast for diversified portfolios during periods of stock market volatility, have not protected.

Tags:
  • Client Letter
  • Inflation
  • Read more

A Peek at Peak Inflation: Five Signals To Watch For

Submitted by Flynn Zito Capital Management on November 15th, 2021

After an updside inflation surprise in October, it’s clear that peak inflation may still be ahead, possibly even pushing into 2022. While the Federal Reserve (Fed) maintains its position that elevated inflation will be transitory, we have yet to see progress.

Tags:
  • Inflation
  • Market Commentary
  • Read more

Inflation And What the Fed Is Saying

Submitted by Flynn Zito Capital Management on June 21st, 2021

Inflation has been on the rise. Investors are not as interested in what’s happening now as they are in what’s happening next. Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve (Fed) shared its views at the conclusion of its last policy meeting on Wednesday, June 16.

Tags:
  • Federal Reserve
  • Inflation
  • Market Commentary
  • Read more

Are We on the Brink of an Inflation Crisis?

Submitted by Flynn Zito Capital Management on March 29th, 2021

There is a growing debate over whether an expanding economy, in conjunction with historic fiscal and monetary stimulus, may cause inflation to overheat. Adding to the intense debate, the Federal Reserve (Fed) has shifted its policy framework, potentially allowing inflation to run a little hotter than it has in the past.

Tags:
  • Inflation
  • Market Commentary
  • Read more

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